Another nice kettle of fish--this time in NY-26

Upstate NY politics often seems like something out of Laurel and Hardy—without the humor.

Remember this and this? Well, now there's this (at the WSJ, via Jazz Shaw at Hot Air):

A poll shows Republican Jane Corwin leading Democrat Kathleen Hochul in a tight race to fill the New York congressional seat vacated by Republican Chris Lee after he sent a shirtless photo to a woman on Craigslist.

The Siena College poll released Friday shows 36 percent of likely voters supporting Corwin and 31 percent favoring Hochul. With the May 24 special election about a month away, Tea Party candidate Jack Davis received 23 percent and Green Party candidate Ian Murphy trailed with 5 percent.

Siena's Steven Greenberg says that in a district with a seven-point edge for Republicans, Corwin's support lags behind Republican enrollment

The poll questioned 484 likely voters Tuesday and Wednesday. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 points.

The polling results from Siena are here.

Oh, my.  Professor Jacobson had called Jack Davis, the supposed tea party favorite, a "false flag candidate" several weeks ago—understandable in view of Davis' past ties to the Working Families Party.  But false flag or not, The Lonely Conservative puts a different spin than the WSJ on the Siena poll figures. And, as is often the case, the commenters add value by pointing out that Siena doesn't have the greatest track record when it comes to congressional polling, which had certainly been my recollection from last fall.

Another nice mess...stay tuned...